Archive for population

95 Million Americans Not Employed

Posted in jobs, Uncategorized with tags , , , , , , , , , on December 10, 2016 by Drogo

95,055,000 Americans have no employer-job income in 2016!

For some reason, the public media ‘Unemployment Reports’ from the US Department of Labor are not listing the largest and most important number. According to their own data charts (which do not copy well as a direct link for specific info, perhaps on purpose) the Bureau of Labor Statistics ‘Household Data’ Table A-1; in November 2016 there were over 95 Million Americans ‘not employed’ total. To clarify, over 95,000,000 adults have no ‘outside-the-family-home’ income (using the ‘not in the labor force’ chart). Many adult workers have no formal income in America. Over 38 million men and almost 57 million women, of those jobless are adults over the age of 16 (using the seasonally adjusted charts).

Here is an article link that explains the ‘Real Unemployment Rate‘.

The total population of the USA is 324,954,000. The US civilian population of adult citizens between the ages of 15-65 is apx. 206,189,000 (male + female) [Wikipedia]; of those 152 million are ’employed’ (includes over 7 million unemployed), and 95 million are not included. About 152 million employees are having to support 95 million other adults of all ages AND all the 62 million children. Although we have men and women working formal or informal paying or volunteer jobs, the ratio of income is perhaps about the same as before Equal Rights (152/157). Worse yet the economy shows no signs of improving, and based on the facts appears to be getting worse every year (accounting for inflation ratios).

There is a pattern trend in relation to the number of years (from 1975-2016) and the unemployed numbers (58 million to 95 million). In 1975 the total ‘jobless population’ was 58,627,000 (over 16 years of age). So since 1975 the ratio of population to non-employed has at least doubled. Our total population has grown in that time (1975-2016) only a little over 100 million more; therefore the disproportionate numbers means that although the total population only grew by 1/3, the jobless population grew by 1/2. ‘Fact-checkers’ claim numbers not included (people in school or elderly over 65) reduce 95 million to 20 million, but I am not convinced and have not yet verified their numbers [Politifact]. I believe counting students over 16 as potential PAID labor force is fair (as they should not be slaves), so if we subtract 40 million elders (population over 65 not verified) that still leaves 55 million adults with no official income that should be getting a living wage if we believe that people have a right to life.

This data makes a parabola chart showing perpetual rapid job loss by the millions within decades. In one generation the masses could all be slaves to corporate plutocracy, with no ability to vote on anything except American Idol, will own less and less property, and will become more impoverished with each generation. One conclusion could be that we are indeed long overdue for major reform, we have been misled by our leaders, and real revolution is needed. The Green Party, SCOD, and others are by necessity already exploring alternative grass-roots economies. We could also break up the Federal government into smaller sections of states (by time-zones), each with democratic directly elected presidential councils; but most agree we should make more democratic changes however we can. The current corporate system trend resembles a Plutocracy that keeps the masses enslaved only to benefit the wealthy elites. If we all will it to change, we can democratize corporations from within by controlling them as the ‘body mass’.

jobless-chart-copy

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Population Growth is the Greatest Problem

Posted in Critical Commentary of Civilization with tags , , , , , , , , , on July 11, 2015 by Drogo

Dr. Albert Allen Bartlett was emeritus professor of physics at the University of Colorado at Boulder. His predictions are those of a retired nuclear physicist who had been watching these problems for several decades. Professor Bartlett regarded the word combination ‘sustainable growth’ as an oxymoron, since even modest annual percentage population increases will inevitably equate to huge exponential growth over sustained periods of time. He therefore regarded human over-population as “The Greatest Challenge” we face now. This is terrifying but true.

“The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function. An investor earning a constant annual 7% return on their investment would find their capital doubling within 10 years. But the same exponential power, so advantageous to patient investors, may be potentially calamitous when applied to human population.”

Bartlett’s Great Challenge: “Can you think of any problem in any area of human endeavor on any scale, from microscopic to global, whose long-term solution is in any demonstrable way aided, assisted, or advanced by further increases in population, locally, nationally, or globally?”

Isaac Asimov said to Bill Moyers in 1989: “Everyone believes in freedom of the bathroom; it should be right there in the Constitution. But if you have twenty people in the apartment and two bathrooms, no matter how much every person believes in freedom of the bathroom, there is no such thing. You have to set up times for each person, you have to bang on the door, “Aren’t you through yet?” and so on.”

In the same way, democracy cannot survive overpopulation. Convenience and decency cannot survive over-population. As you put more and more people onto the world, the value of life not only declines, it disappears. It doesn’t matter if someone dies, the more people there are, the less one person matters.

Smart Growth Only Destroys Slowly

“The terms “growth management” and “smart growth” are used interchangeably to describe urban developments that are functionally and esthetically efficient and pleasing. Sometimes these planning processes are advocated by those who believe that we can’t stop population growth, therefore we must accommodate it as best we can. Other times they are advocated by those who are actively advancing population growth. The claim is made that growth management and smart growth “will save the environment.” They don’t save the environment. Whether the growth is smart or dumb, the growth destroys the environment.”

“It is frequently said that we can reduce congestion and air pollution by building high-speed super highways. This can be proven false by noting that if this were true, the air in Los Angeles would be the cleanest in the nation. The fallacy arises because the construction of the new highways generates new traffic, not previously present, to fill the new highways to capacity.”

We have a national religion of Growth;

In Growth we Trust”

we worship growth.

“The only possibility for having permanently low unemployment in a region is to build a wall around the region so that people can’t move in to take the jobs. Walls can work for a limited time; but are not a long term sustainable solution.”

Bartlett’s Table of Options

This table has inverse properties. If we do not pick from the second list, it is inevitable that Nature will pick for us. The human dilemma is that every-thing from the side we think of as good, makes the population problems worse, and the side we see as bad solves the problems of over-population.

First List of factors to: Increase Populations

growth propaganda / ignorance of sustainability

procreation, motherhood, large families

medicine, public health, sanitation

peace, law & order

scientific agriculture

accident prevention

immigration

clean air

Second List of factors to: Decrease Populations

no growth propaganda / eduction of sustainability

abstinence, abortion, contraception

disease, famine

war, murder, violence

accidents

no immigration

pollution

“Pro-growthers and Pro-Lifers see the first list as all good, and the second list as mostly bad. There is a paradoxical catch-22 with this conventional view; raising population makes the problem of sustainability of population worse, and lowering population from our present levels makes it better. Nature will choose from the second list if we do nothing. Or we can choose from the second list before the worst options are forced on us. Stable population is the goal lies in between perpetual decline and growth.”

Sustainable vs Steady Growth

Semantics regarding statistical terms should be clarified. ‘Sustainable Growth’ means “for an unspecified long period of time.” and ‘steady growth’ means “large numbers in limited or modest periods of time at stable annual percents.

“And so we have a spectrum of uses of the term ‘sustainable’. At one end of the spectrum, the term is used with precision by people who are introducing new concepts as a consequence of thinking profoundly about the long-term future of the human race. In the middle of the spectrum, the term is simply added as a modifier to the names and titles of very beneficial studies in efficiency, etc. that have been in progress for years. Near the other end of the spectrum, the term is used as a placebo. In some cases the term may be used mindlessly (or possibly with the intent to deceive) in order to try to shed a favorable light on continuing activities that may or may not be capable of continuing for long periods of time. At the very far end of the spectrum, we see the term used in a way that is oxy-moronic.”

Job Creation Increases Unemployment

“The favorite rallying cry of community leaders and politicians is, “We must create jobs.” One must respond to this cry by asking: Did you know that in your community, creating jobs increases the number of people out of work? Most people don’t understand this, even though it can be explained easily. If the equilibrium unemployment rate is 5 % , and a new factory moves into town, the hiring at the new factory may lower the unemployment rate to 4 % . But then new people move into the town to restore the unemployment rate to the equilibrium value of 5 % . But this is 5 % of a larger population, so the number of unemployed people has increased. Every time 100 jobs are created in a community one can look for about 5 more unemployed people in the community.”

BARTLETT LAWS OF SUSTAINABILITY

1: Population growth and / or growth in the rates of consumption of resources cannot be sustained.

2: In a society with a growing population and / or growing rates of consumption of resources, the larger the population, and / or the larger the rates of consumption of resources, the more difficult it will be to transform the society to the condition of sustainability.

3: The response time of populations to changes in the human fertility rate is the average length of a human life, or approx. 70 years. This is called “population momentum.”

4: The size of population that can be sustained (carrying capacity) and the sustainable average standard of living of the population are inversely related to one another. This must be true even though Cohen (1995) asserts that the numerical size of the carrying capacity of the Earth cannot be determined.

5: Sustainability requires that the size of the population be less than or equal to the carrying capacity of the ecosystem for the desired standard of living.

6: Lesson of “The Tragedy of the Commons” (Hardin 1968): The benefits of population growth and of growth in the rates of consumption of resources accrue to a few; the costs of population growth and growth in the rates of consumption of resources are borne by all of society.

7: Growth in the rate of consumption of a non-renewable resource, such as a fossil fuel, causes a dramatic decrease in the life-expectancy of the resource.

8: The time of expiration of non-renewable resources can be postponed, possibly for a very long time, by: technological improvements in the efficiency with which the resources are recovered and used; using the resources in accord with a program of ‘Sustained Availability’; recycling; substitute resources.

9: When large efforts are made to improve the efficiency with which resources are used, the resulting savings are easily and completely wiped out by the added resources consumed as a consequence of modest increases in population.

10: Benefits of large efforts to preserve the environment are easily canceled by the added demands on the environment that result from small increases in human population.

11: (Second Law of Thermodynamics) When rates of pollution exceed the natural cleansing capacity of the environment, it is easier to pollute than it is to clean up the environment.

12: (Eric Sevareid’s Law); The chief causes of problems, are solutions to other problems. (Sevareid 1970)

13: Humans will always be dependent on agriculture. This is the first of Malthus’ two postulata (Principle of Population 1798).

14: If humans fail to stop population growth and growth in the rates of consumption of resources, Nature will stop these growths.

15: In every local situation, creating jobs increases the number of people locally who are out of work.

16: Starving people don’t care about sustainability.

17: Using the word “sustainable” in our vocabulary, is not sufficient to ensure that our society becomes sustainable.

18: Extinction is forever.

Hypotheses Relating To Sustainability

“For the 1998 average global standard of living, the 1998 population of the Earth exceeds the carrying capacity of the Earth. (Pimentel 1994) Cohen (1995) would probably debate this. For the 1998 average standard of living in the United States, the 1998 population of the United States exceeds the carrying capacity of the United States (Abernethy 1993a), (Giampietro and Pimentel 1993). The increasing sizes of populations that result from population growth are the single greatest and most insidious threat to representative democracy. The costs of programs to stop population growth are small compared to the costs of population increases. For society as a whole, population growth never pays for itself. This is a consequence of the Tragedy of the Commons.”

Disturbing Conclusions

“The Earth is already over populated. Population growth interferes with economic growth, and standards of living; and dilutes democracy. Human freedoms depend on social stability. Armed conflict (war) cannot be a part of a sustainable society. Modern agriculture uses fossil-fuels to make food. Social stability tends to be inversely related both to population size and density. There will always be those who reject all limits to growth.”

“By contemporary western standards, Nature’s method of stopping growth is cruel and inhumane. Glimpses of Nature’s method of dealing with populations that have exceeded the carrying capacity of their lands can be seen each night on the television news reports from places where large populations are experiencing starvation and misery.”

We are in a perpetual childhood economically. Children grow, adults must stop growing at some point, or become obese.

“Those who profit from growth will use their considerable resources to convince the community that we should pay the costs of growth. Making growth pay for itself could be a major tool to use in stopping the population growth.”

We should “not to create despair, but activity” of the right kind. Bartlett did advocate alternative renewable energy, and to invest in those we know work, without assuming we will invent others. When competing “experts” recommend diametrically opposing paths of action regarding resources, carrying capacity, sustainability, and the future, we serve the cause of sustainability by choosing the conservative path, which is defined as the path that would leave society in the less precarious position if the chosen path turns out to be the wrong path. Bartlett argues that in a context of population growth and compromises, the notion of carrying capacity, as unpopular as it is, “must become central to our thinking”

A SELF-EVIDENT TRUTH

“If any fraction of the observed global warming can be attributed to the activities of humans, then this constitutes positive proof
that the human population, living as we do, has exceeded the carrying capacity of the Earth. This situation is not sustainable!
As a consequence, it is an inconvenient truth that all proposals or efforts to slow global warming, or to move toward sustainability are serious intellectual frauds if they do not advocate reducing populations to sustainable levels at the local, national and global scales.” – short essay by Bartlett

“Dumb growth destroys the environment. Smart growth destroys the environment. The difference is that smart growth destroys the environment with good taste. So it’s like buying a ticket on the TITANIC. If you’re smart you go first class. If you’re dumb you go steerage. Either way the result is the same.”

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“For our U.S. energy policy, we must choose between the Conservative and the Liberal Paths. These political positions are not only opposites of each other, but Conservative Republicans are advocating liberal energy consumption, and Liberal Democrats support conservative preservation of resources (conservation); however the labels line up on immigration; and neither support population control.

So there are two possible wrong choices that we must compare. If we choose the Conservative Path that assumes finite resources, and our children later find that resources are really infinite, then no great long-term harm has been done. If we choose the Liberal Path that assumes infinite resources, and our children later find that resources are really finite, then we will have left our descendants in deep trouble. There can be no question. The Conservative Path is the prudent path to follow. However, it is the Liberal Path that we are so eagerly taking today. If resources turn out to be infinite, then we will be OK on the Liberal Path. But if resources turn out to be finite, then today’s choice of the Liberal Path will create enormous and critical problems for our children.

We should not be confused by the conflicting expertise that supports each of these two paths because there is a very fundamental truth: For every PhD. there’s an equal and opposite PhD.” – testimony to Congress 2001

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Summary of a Paper by Wallace Yater

Posted in Critical Commentary of Civilization with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on May 18, 2015 by Drogo

One of the most interesting strangers I spoke with at the Boonsboro Green Fest in 2015 was Wallace M. Yater. ‘Wally’ as he is affectionately known, is a brilliant modern philosopher. Wally handed me his theory on the importance of mutations in biodiversity, called ‘Why Such Constant Over-population; or Why Everything In Biology and Life Depends On Very Rare Random Molecular Mistakes’. His paper is a 2015 version, and begins by mentioning how Darwin would be fascinated by our micro-biological discoveries; in relation to evolution and inter-connection between species. Wally is quick to point out human concerns that threaten life on this planet as well. Problems created by population and technology include pollution, poaching, and degradation of ecology.

Human greed seems to have ruled civilization; ever since we did less hunting and gathering, and more agriculture and hoarding. Recent archeology supports his claims, and even has found evidence that gender roles were more equal before patriarchal domination of property in Neanderthal Europe. Politicians have always been bought by ‘big money’, as he reminds us that we already know. Wally also laments that Climate Change is real, and we are doing nothing substantial about it, as fast as we can.

“We are really a very strange bunch of primates, in so many ways…” Wally goes on to say. He goes on to talk about the World History and the psychology of politics. Wally says the “real enigma here, the incomprehensible conundrum, with all this is how could a species with all these conflicting negative traits, have survived…” which also leads into our perception of time, and our own period of existence on this planet. Wally says “there are many answers to this survival question.” Some answers to our survival are beyond our comprehension, some will be repellent, and some will be based on random probability. “Molecules perform flawlessly millions of times, and then a high energy cosmic ray, or a stray contaminant from the environment gets in the way, and a mistake happens.” Some of our rarest mistakes make all the difference for our survival, despite any detriments. “Inspite of all the bad results, these random ‘mistakes’ are so important, life on Earth wouldn’t even be here without them!” Mistakes change DNA, and generate variation, which is how life evolves, survives, but yes also dies.

Wally asks us “Why is sex so important?” What is with all this sexual competition? “Even bacteria trade DNA, which is a form of sex. One answer.” Wally says all the sex is about speeding up evolution for complex organisms “like us”. Wally hints that with thousands of genes chosen randomly, we should not feel bad that most of us will not be famous; because “many famous successful people have many brothers and sisters you never hear about”.

“Virtually everyone you talk to has a ‘gut feeling’ that it is only a matter of time, that this present state of affairs will drastically change in a lot of ways we are not going to like.” “Vast human die offs have always been with us.” “We have always been like rats.” Some vermin usually survive extermination. He goes on to talk about the devolution that ‘dysgenics’ causes; when the ‘less fit’ are allowed to survive and breed. Wally mentions the problem of genetically ‘fixing’ crops, while pests continue to evolve. To compensate for natural blights we drench our food in poison.

“Is genocide a human trait?” Wally thinks it seems so, given our historic patterns of slaughter and suffering. Our pack-mentality favors shared suffering. Like frogs unaware that they are slowly boiling to death in a pot, we may be massively incapable of solving our problems.

“What has been presented here is the result of almost 8 decades of observing neighbors, coupled with a broader over-all view,” of science and history. “If all 7 billion people on this planet read this, it wouldn’t change anything. Only a few would comprehend anything close to the original idea. It wouldn’t get a meaningful number of people to ‘give anything up’.” “As the Bible says, ‘the poor and the meek shall inherit the Earth’. It doesn’t tell us how much they will have to suffer, to do it; and how few of them will end up with the prize.” “…we have very close to no control over any of this.”

Most people are too ignorant and confused by the commercial-industrial system to get what Wally, and other wise elders have been trying to teach us. Even the voices of our ancestors speak to us from the pages of history, and they ask us to slow down, and learn and use the natural world around us, responsibly; because this planet is our home and we are part of a DNA family ecological system. Scientists like Carl Sagan have agreed with many of Wally’s points too, for decades. On behalf of all the rats that get it, thanks Wally!

Maryland Indian Tribes

Posted in Cooperatives / Communities / Networks / Travels, Critical Commentary of Civilization, History, Pagan, Sustainability with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on November 4, 2013 by Drogo

Native American Indian Tribes in Maryland

The main existing Indian Tribe in Maryland seems to be the Piscataway. They are MD State recognized (finally), but as is often the case with bigoted bureaucracy not Federally recognized.

The Piscataway are a sub-tribe of the Conoy Tribe, one of the most prominent historic tribes of the Chesapeake Bay area. Their Algonquin dialect evolved from Nanticoke, having established roots here over 10,000 years ago as hunters and gatherers. They lived very much like the Potowomac Tribe, along the Potomac River; by 800 AD they grew maize, beans, squash, and pumpkins. Today there are 2 main Piscataway groups in Southern MD: The Nation (Chief Tayak), and The Tribe (Confederacy and Cedarville Band). They have no reservation land.

 2010: Frederick County had 800+ Residents that considered themselves Native American; Maryland Indians total: 25,000+ of which 8,000+ are Piscataway. Together with dramatic decreases in population due to disease, when American Indian reservations were dissolved by the Maryland Colony in the eighteenth century, and when the Piscataway were reclassified as “free people of color”, “Free Negro” or “mulatto” on state and federal census records in the nineteenth century, a process of detribalization was happening. While the Piscataway were enumerated as “mulattos” in state and federal census records, by contrast Catholic parish records and ethnographic reports continued to identify Piscataway individuals and families as Indians.

 Historically many tribes came together on the Rivers to barter:  Potowomac, Senedoes, Catawba, Iroquois, Tutelo, Saponi, Conoy, Piscataway, Delaware, Lenape, Powhatan, Shawnee, Susquehannok, Nanticoke… and they had populations of hundreds of thousands.

The old Maryland village of Piscataway where the Potomac meets the Chesapeake, must have been named as an homage to the tribe.

We do not have many records detailing how the all the tribes in Maryland looked; however we can generalize dress and appearance based on the many drawings and descriptions of Powhatans just south of Maryland in Virginia.

PowhatanIndianhouse

It is unclear why this map does not have the Conoy tribes on here; perhaps the Powhatan claimed Conoy land at some point during the records.

maryland tribes

 

 

 

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Deer Overpopulation

Posted in Sustainability with tags , , , , , , , , , , on October 11, 2009 by Drogo

RedGreenTree

Human overpopulation is the main contributing factor to the overpopulation of deer. The overpopulation of deer affects the urban environment, just as urban sprawl displaces deer from their natural environment. Urban growth and deer overpopulation are both symptoms of human overpopulation.

Bring back the wolves! Heh, well maybe not. Wolves are dangerous, that is why we slaughter them. Despite the fact that wolves are dangerous to humans, they are part of the natural food chain. We have disrupted our own food chain in recent centuries with the annihilation of natural deer predators, like wolves. Although it is not easy, we must take responsibility for our own impact on the eco-system.

Automobiles kill more deer, than hunters do every year in America. Vehicles hitting deer on roadways is a problem for humans, as well as for deer. If you care about the deer, this should upset you as they are getting slaughtered by the millions. If you care about humans or automobiles, then there is a major safety problem on highways and roads. If you care about vegetation, gardens, farms, and public sanitation then our country homesteads, towns, and cities are endangered.

A group of deer often eat enough crop in one night, to destroy a season worth of human family food without being seen. This is easily done in a single garden location, especially while the plants are young. Fencing off every field and garden from deer is not practical, although it helps to have some type of ward or protection.

Chronic Wasting Disease (CWD) is spreading throughout deer populations nationwide, parallel with deer overpopulation. CWD is a neurological disease of deer producing brain lesions, behavioral abnormalities, body deterioration, and death. CWD is a TSE similar to mad cow disease in cattle. Prions, the infectious agent, are proteins without associated nucleic acids (not bacterial or viral). Hunters are not recommended to use the meat.

Tens-of-Thousands of Americans are infected with Lyme disease, a statistic increasing every year. Lyme disease is spread through deer ticks. Lyme disease causes painful skin blotches, headaches, aching, and swollen joints. There is treatment but no known cure for Lyme disease in humans.

Deer overpopulation is harming humans, not just our rural and urban environment. Hunters, animal rights activists, and environmentalists must come together to solve the problem. If we do not, then more automobiles will kill more deer and humans, in a tragedy worse than life before cell phones. If humans are the cause of the problem, let humans find the answer. If apathy is always is our collective answer to problems of our own overpopulation, then Nature will find answers to our problems. Natural answers are not always in our best interest, and not in your best interest if you don’t want to be killed by plagues caused by overpopulation.

* plague in it’s Biblical reference refers to swarms of crop eaters, not just disease; although a deer is a large bug to have land on your windshield.

Deer_skull

References:

Chronic Wasting Disease Alliance (website 2009)

Urban Deer Action Committee (Ozarks First, website 2007)

“Controlling Deer Overpopulation by Increased Hunting” (Maerong 2006)

“Too Many Deer” (Conservationist Magazine 2005)

“On a Collision Course with Losses” (Nelson, D., and W.A. Banaszewski)

“To Hunt or Not to Hunt” (Weekly Reader, Current Events, 1997)

Related entry post:  Deer Deterrents, Wards, and Ambushes